NFLStats2026 · Wk 1

Data status

Pipeline: nflverse releases → Python ingest → Oracle Autonomous Database → payload cache → these pages.

Pipeline

Last ingest
2026-09-15T03:00:24+00:00
loaded · checked 2026-09-15T03:00:24+00:00
Payloads built
2026-09-14T22:12:19-04:00
6.4 s
Games in schedule
272
through week 1 played
Players indexed
2,546

Rows loaded (last full ingest)

TableRows
TEAMS32
GAMES272
PLAYS2,596
PLAYER_GAMES968
PLAYER_SEASON968
TEAM_GAMES30
TEAM_SEASON32
DRIVES334
ROSTERS2,962
DEPTH_CHARTS2,232
SNAP_COUNTS1,397
INJURIES182
PFR_ADV_WEEK105
NGS_WEEK262
QBR_WEEK30

Ingest log

RunSecondsChanged files
2026-09-15 02:12:0530.8depth_charts,games,injuries,ngs_passing,ngs_receiving,ngs_rushing,pbp,pfr_def,pfr_pass,pfr_rec,pfr_rush,players,qbr,rosters,snap_counts,teams
2026-09-15 01:45:3027.1games
2026-09-15 01:20:5248.9games
2026-09-15 01:00:5047.1games
2026-09-15 00:45:2926.7games
2026-09-15 00:26:0025.4forced

Definitions

EPA
Expected points added: the change in expected points caused by a play (nflfastR model).
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
CPOE
Completion percentage over expected, given target depth, location and situation.
PROE
Pass rate over expected: how much more (or less) a team passes than the situation predicts.
WOPR
Weighted opportunity rating: 1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share.
RACR
Receiver air conversion ratio: receiving yards ÷ air yards.
Adjusted ratings
Iterative opponent adjustment of EPA/play with shrinkage toward the league mean (three games of prior weight); the power rating scales net adjusted EPA to points per game.
Model win probability
Normal CDF of the projected margin with a 13.5-point standard deviation, including 1.5 points of home field.