2026 NFL season · Week 1

Every snap, measured.

Opponent-adjusted efficiency, player usage and weekly matchup edges built from nflverse play-by-play. 15 games in the books through Week 1.

League EPA/play

+0.014

offense, all plays

Pass rate

60.7%

league average

Neutral pace

29.8s

seconds per snap

The landscape

Offense efficiency across, defense efficiency up. Top-right is the good corner. Hover a logo for details; click to open the team.

Power rankings

Adjusted for opponents faced and shrunk toward average early in the season.

#	Team	W-L	Power	Off	Def	Trend
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0	+6.5	+3.7 3rd	+2.8 6th
2	Baltimore Ravens	1-0	+5.5	+2.4 6th	+3.0 5th
3	San Francisco 49ers	1-0	+5.2	+2.2 7th	+3.0 4th
4	Arizona Cardinals	1-0	+3.9	+1.6 8th	+2.3 8th
5	New York Jets	1-0	+3.4	+1.4 10th	+2.0 9th
6	Minnesota Vikings	1-0	+3.2	+0.7 11th	+2.5 7th
7	Chicago Bears	1-0	+2.9	+4.4 2nd	−1.4 24th
8	Las Vegas Raiders	1-0	+2.7	−0.5 21st	+3.2 3rd
9	Buffalo Bills	1-0	+2.6	+3.3 4th	−0.7 21st
10	Seattle Seahawks	1-0	+1.5	+0.2 14th	+1.3 10th
11	Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0	+1.3	−3.4 31st	+4.7 1st
12	New York Giants	1-0	+1.2	+4.4 1st	−3.2 28th
13	Cincinnati Bengals	1-0	+1.0	−0.2 19th	+1.2 11th
14	New Orleans Saints	0-1	+0.6	+0.1 18th	+0.5 13th
15	Washington Commanders	0-1	+0.4	+0.6 13th	−0.2 18th
16	Denver Broncos	0-0	+0.0	+0.1 16th	−0.1 16th
17	Kansas City Chiefs	0-0	+0.0	+0.1 16th	−0.1 16th
18	Philadelphia Eagles	1-0	−0.4	+0.2 15th	−0.6 20th
19	Detroit Lions	1-0	−0.6	−0.5 20th	−0.1 15th
20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-1	−1.0	−1.2 22nd	+0.2 14th
21	Dallas Cowboys	0-1	−1.2	+3.2 5th	−4.4 32nd
22	Atlanta Falcons	0-1	−1.3	−4.7 32nd	+3.4 2nd
23	New England Patriots	0-1	−1.5	−1.3 23rd	−0.2 19th
24	Houston Texans	0-1	−2.6	+0.7 12th	−3.3 29th
25	Miami Dolphins	0-1	−2.7	−3.2 30th	+0.5 12th
26	Carolina Panthers	0-1	−2.9	+1.4 9th	−4.4 31st
27	Green Bay Packers	0-1	−3.2	−2.5 26th	−0.7 22nd
28	Tennessee Titans	0-1	−3.4	−2.0 24th	−1.4 23rd
29	Los Angeles Chargers	0-1	−3.9	−2.3 25th	−1.6 25th
30	Los Angeles Rams	0-1	−5.2	−3.0 29th	−2.2 26th
31	Indianapolis Colts	0-1	−5.5	−3.0 28th	−2.4 27th
32	Cleveland Browns	0-1	−6.5	−2.8 27th	−3.7 30th

Week 1 matchups

Model win probability from adjusted ratings plus home field, alongside the market line. Full matchup breakdowns →

Week 1 · FinalSEA -3.0 · O/U 44.5

Patriots0-1 · Pwr −1.5

Seahawks1-0 · Pwr +1.5

SEA 63% (model)proj NE 20–SEA 25

Red zone: -4.3Rushing attack: -4.2

Week 1 · FinalLA -3.5 · O/U 47.5

49ers1-0 · Pwr +5.2

Rams0-1 · Pwr −5.2

SF 75% (model)proj SF 27–LA 18

Success rate: +3.6Pass protection vs pressure: -3.2

Week 1 · FinalDET -7.0 · O/U 49.5

Saints0-1 · Pwr +0.6

Lions1-0 · Pwr −0.6

DET 51% (model)proj NO 23–DET 23

Ball security vs takeaways: -1.8Pass protection vs pressure: -1.1

Week 1 · FinalBUF -1.5 · O/U 44.5

Bills1-0 · Pwr +2.6

Texans0-1 · Pwr −2.6

BUF 61% (model)proj BUF 29–HOU 26

Early downs: +3.1Explosive plays: +3.0

Week 1 · FinalBAL -3.0 · O/U 48.5

Ravens1-0 · Pwr +5.5

Colts0-1 · Pwr −5.5

BAL 76% (model)proj BAL 28–IND 18

Passing attack: -3.2Pass protection vs pressure: -2.9

Week 1 · FinalCIN -3.5 · O/U 50.5

Buccaneers0-1 · Pwr −1.0

Bengals1-0 · Pwr +1.0

CIN 60% (model)proj TB 20–CIN 24

Ball security vs takeaways: -5.5Rushing attack: +2.6

Week 1 · FinalCHI -3.0 · O/U 47.5

Bears1-0 · Pwr +2.9

Panthers0-1 · Pwr −2.9

CHI 63% (model)proj CHI 31–CAR 27

Points per drive: +4.3Overall efficiency: +3.5

Week 1 · FinalJAX -8.5 · O/U 40.5

Browns0-1 · Pwr −6.5

Jaguars1-0 · Pwr +6.5

JAX 86% (model)proj CLE 17–JAX 32

Success rate: +4.3Red zone: -4.3

Week 1 · FinalTEN -1.5 · O/U 39.5

Jets1-0 · Pwr +3.4

Titans0-1 · Pwr −3.4

NYJ 65% (model)proj NYJ 26–TEN 20

Pass protection vs pressure: +3.1Points per drive: -2.5

Week 1 · FinalPIT -6.5 · O/U 40.5

Falcons0-1 · Pwr −1.3

Steelers1-0 · Pwr +1.3

PIT 62% (model)proj ATL 13–PIT 17

Passing attack: -4.6Overall efficiency: -3.8

Week 1 · FinalLAC -8.5 · O/U 47.5

Cardinals1-0 · Pwr +3.9

Chargers0-1 · Pwr −3.9

ARI 68% (model)proj ARI 26–LAC 20

Rushing attack: -3.1Ball security vs takeaways: +2.4

Week 1 · FinalLV -3.0 · O/U 40.5

Dolphins0-1 · Pwr −2.7

Raiders1-0 · Pwr +2.7

LV 69% (model)proj MIA 16–LV 23

Rushing attack: -3.6Success rate: -3.0

Week 1 · FinalMIN -1.5 · O/U 46.5

Packers0-1 · Pwr −3.2

Vikings1-0 · Pwr +3.2

MIN 72% (model)proj GB 18–MIN 26

Pass protection vs pressure: -4.6Rushing attack: -4.1

Week 1 · FinalPHI -6.0 · O/U 43.5

Commanders0-1 · Pwr +0.4

Eagles1-0 · Pwr −0.4

PHI 52% (model)proj WAS 24–PHI 25

Success rate: -3.1Pass protection vs pressure: +2.8

Week 1 · FinalDAL -3.0 · O/U 47.5

Cowboys0-1 · Pwr −1.2

Giants1-0 · Pwr +1.2

NYG 61% (model)proj DAL 29–NYG 33

Third down: +5.4Explosive plays: -4.4

Week 1 · Mon 20:15 ETKC -2.5 · O/U 42.5

Broncos0-0 · Pwr +0.0

Chiefs0-0 · Pwr +0.0

KC 54% (model)proj DEN 23–KC 24

Passing attack: +0.0Rushing attack: +0.0

Standings

AFC East

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
NYJ	1	0	+13	W1
BUF	1	0	+5	W1
NE	0	1	−3	L1
MIA	0	1	−14	L1

AFC North

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
BAL	1	0	+18	W1
PIT	1	0	+7	W1
CIN	1	0	+6	W1
CLE	0	1	−24	L1

AFC South

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
JAX	1	0	+24	W1
HOU	0	1	−5	L1
TEN	0	1	−13	L1
IND	0	1	−18	L1

AFC West

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
LV	1	0	+14	W1
DEN	0	0	+0
KC	0	0	+0
LAC	0	1	−12	L1

NFC East

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
NYG	1	0	+8	W1
PHI	1	0	+2	W1
WAS	0	1	−2	L1
DAL	0	1	−8	L1

NFC North

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
MIN	1	0	+17	W1
CHI	1	0	+22	W1
DET	1	0	+1	W1
GB	0	1	−17	L1

NFC South

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
NO	0	1	−1	L1
TB	0	1	−6	L1
ATL	0	1	−7	L1
CAR	0	1	−22	L1

NFC West

Team	W	L	Diff	Strk	Last 5
SF	1	0	+20	W1
ARI	1	0	+12	W1
SEA	1	0	+3	W1
LA	0	1	−20	L1

Leaders

Qualified players only. All leaderboards →

QB · EPA per dropback

QB · CPOE

RB · EPA per carry

WR · WOPR

TE · EPA per target

Front seven · Sacks

DB · Passes defended

WR · Receiving yards