NFLStats2026 · Wk 1

Week 1 · Final · Reliant Stadium (closed)

Buffalo Bills1-0 · +2.6 power
3631
BUF -1.5 · O/U 44.5 CBS
Houston Texans0-1 · −2.6 power

Win probability

nflfastR win probability for HOU (top) vs BUF (bottom), play by play. Numbered markers are scores (7/3/2). Drag or hover across the chart to scrub the game.

Q1Q2Q3Q40%25%50%75%100%377777737337HOUBUF
Q1Q2Q3Q40%25%50%75%100%377777737337HOUBUF

Team box

BUFHOU
56Plays79
410Yards381
7.3Yards per play4.8
+0.278Offense EPA/play+0.071
41.1%Offense success rate48.1%
+0.556Pass EPA/dropback+0.098
−0.263Rush EPA/carry+0.030
8Explosive plays7
20First downs25
33rd-down conversions7
93rd-down attempts16
3Red-zone trips5
1Red-zone TDs4
0Turnovers2
2Sacks taken3
+3.7%Pass rate over expected−4.8%
28.0Neutral pace (sec/play)31.1
23:43Time of possession36:17
46.8Avg. starting field position54.2
3.00Points per drive2.82

Scoring

  1. FG Q1 07:32 (7:32) 16-T.Bass 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman. (BUF 3 – HOU 0)
  2. TD Q1 00:37 (:37) 32-D.Montgomery right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 3 – HOU 6)
  3. TD Q2 12:57 (12:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 9 – HOU 7)
  4. TD Q2 04:53 (4:53) (Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 10 – HOU 13)
  5. TD Q2 04:02 (4:02) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 16 – HOU 14)
  6. TD Q2 01:39 (1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 2-D.Moore for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 23 – HOU 14)
  7. TD Q2 00:31 (:31) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 24 – HOU 20)
  8. FG Q3 04:27 (4:27) 16-T.Bass 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman. (BUF 27 – HOU 21)
  9. TD Q4 13:39 (13:39) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 32-D.Montgomery for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 27 – HOU 27)
  10. FG Q4 10:36 (10:36) 16-T.Bass 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman. (BUF 30 – HOU 28)
  11. FG Q4 06:48 (6:48) 15-K.Fairbairn 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger. (BUF 30 – HOU 31)
  12. TD Q4 01:41 (1:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 5-J.Palmer for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (BUF 36 – HOU 31)