NFLStats2026 · Wk 1

Week 1 · Final · Paycor Stadium

Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-1 · −1.0 power
2733
CIN -3.5 · O/U 50.5 FOX
Cincinnati Bengals1-0 · +1.0 power

Win probability

nflfastR win probability for CIN (top) vs TB (bottom), play by play. Numbered markers are scores (7/3/2). Drag or hover across the chart to scrub the game.

Q1Q2Q3Q40%25%50%75%100%377773337337CINTB
Q1Q2Q3Q40%25%50%75%100%377773337337CINTB

Team box

TBCIN
56Plays63
283Yards352
5.1Yards per play5.6
−0.081Offense EPA/play+0.001
51.8%Offense success rate47.6%
−0.168Pass EPA/dropback−0.030
+0.118Rush EPA/carry+0.050
3Explosive plays7
19First downs25
53rd-down conversions8
103rd-down attempts14
4Red-zone trips5
2Red-zone TDs2
4Turnovers1
4Sacks taken1
+2.7%Pass rate over expected+5.7%
29.8Neutral pace (sec/play)23.1
28:35Time of possession31:25
63.7Avg. starting field position61.8
2.10Points per drive2.70

Scoring

  1. FG Q1 09:12 (9:12) 4-C.McLaughlin 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. (TB 3 – CIN 0)
  2. TD Q1 06:29 (6:29) (No Huddle) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 25 for -8 yards (sack split by 99-M.Murphy and 49-B.Carter). FUMBLES (99-M.Murphy) [49-B.Carter], touched at TB 26, RECOVERED by CIN-44-D.Knight at TB 27. 44-D.Knight for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (TB 3 – CIN 6)
  3. TD Q1 01:51 (1:51) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (TB 3 – CIN 13)
  4. TD Q2 05:35 (5:35) 30-C.Brown up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (TB 3 – CIN 20)
  5. TD Q2 01:54 (1:54) 7-B.Irving left end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (TB 9 – CIN 21)
  6. FG Q2 00:10 (:10) 2-E.McPherson 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. (TB 10 – CIN 24)
  7. FG Q3 10:08 (10:08) 2-E.McPherson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. (TB 10 – CIN 27)
  8. FG Q3 03:46 (3:46) 4-C.McLaughlin 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. (TB 13 – CIN 27)
  9. TD Q3 02:24 (2:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right intended for 80-A.Iosivas INTERCEPTED by 45-J.Trotter [50-V.Vea] at CIN 38. 45-J.Trotter for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (TB 19 – CIN 27)
  10. FG Q4 14:09 (14:09) 2-E.McPherson 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. (TB 20 – CIN 30)
  11. FG Q4 05:23 (5:23) 2-E.McPherson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. (TB 20 – CIN 33)
  12. TD Q4 03:25 (3:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (TB 26 – CIN 33)