NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 1 · Final · MetLife Stadium

Dallas Cowboys0-1 · −1.2 power
2028
DAL -3.0 · O/U 47.5 · Division game NBC
New York Giants1-0 · +1.2 power

Model

39%DAL61%NYG

Projected DAL 30.7 – NYG 34.5
margin +3.8 · total 65.1

Market

60%DAL40%NYG

DAL -3.0 · O/U 47.5
implied DAL 25.3 – NYG 22.3

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
+6.8
NYG side of the number
Total edge
+17.6
leans over

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

DALNYG
−1.2 20thPower rating13th +1.2
+3.3 5thOffense rating1st +4.5
−4.5 32ndDefense rating28th −3.3
+0.271 5thOffense EPA/play1st +0.363
+0.363 32ndDefense EPA/play allowed28th +0.271
48.3% 8thOffense success rate2nd 59.1%
59.1% 31stDefense success rate allowed25th 48.3%
+0.425 5thPass EPA/dropback2nd +0.667
+0.667 31stPass EPA/dropback allowed28th +0.425
−0.100 18thRush EPA/carry7th +0.059
+0.059 26thRush EPA/carry allowed15th −0.100
0.0% 32ndExplosive play rate23rd 6.1%
6.1% 10thExplosive rate allowed1st 0.0%
72.7% 2nd3rd-down conversion1st 90.0%
90.0% 32nd3rd-down conversion allowed31st 72.7%
100.0% 1stRed-zone TD rate1st 100.0%
100.0% 23rdRed-zone TD rate allowed23rd 100.0%
8.3% 6thPressure rate allowed16th 15.2%
15.2% 15thPressure rate27th 8.3%
14.3% 17thTurnover rate17th 14.3%
14.3% 15thTakeaway rate15th 14.3%
20.0 22ndPoints per game12th 28.0
28.0 21stPoints allowed per game10th 20.0
+2.3% Pass rate over expected −4.3%
25.6 5thNeutral pace (sec/play)11th 28.5
+0.271 Off epa last3 +0.363
+0.363 Def epa last3 +0.271
−1.1 26thSpecial teams EPA20th +0.6

DAL offense vs NYG defense

Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
DALNYG D

NYG offense vs DAL defense

Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
NYGDAL D