Week 1 · Final · U.S. Bank Stadium (dome)
Green Bay Packers0-1 · −3.2 power
2239
MIN -1.5 · O/U 46.5 · Division game CBS
Minnesota Vikings1-0 · +3.2 power
Model
Projected GB 19.3 – MIN 27.1
margin +7.9 · total 46.4
Market
MIN -1.5 · O/U 46.5
implied GB 22.5 – MIN 24.0
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
+6.4
MIN side of the number
Total edge
−0.1
leans under
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| GB | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.2 26th | Power rating | 7th +3.2 |
| −2.4 25th | Offense rating | 12th +0.8 |
| −0.8 21st | Defense rating | 8th +2.4 |
| −0.181 25th | Offense EPA/play | 12th +0.071 |
| +0.071 21st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 8th −0.181 |
| 38.2% 27th | Offense success rate | 26th 38.7% |
| 38.7% 7th | Defense success rate allowed | 6th 38.2% |
| −0.059 22nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 10th +0.233 |
| +0.233 23rd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 11th −0.059 |
| −0.438 31st | Rush EPA/carry | 22nd −0.125 |
| −0.125 11th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 2nd −0.438 |
| 13.2% 3rd | Explosive play rate | 29th 3.2% |
| 3.2% 4th | Explosive rate allowed | 30th 13.2% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 5th 57.1% |
| 57.1% 27th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 25.0% 29th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 3rd 25.0% |
| 32.6% 32nd | Pressure rate allowed | 20th 16.1% |
| 16.1% 13th | Pressure rate | 1st 32.6% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 12th 7.7% |
| 7.7% 20th | Takeaway rate | 10th 16.7% |
| 22.0 20th | Points per game | 3rd 39.0 |
| 39.0 30th | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| −3.0% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.0% |
| 19.3 1st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 26th 32.7 |
| −0.181 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| +0.071 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| +3.5 12th | Special teams EPA | 14th +3.0 |
GB offense vs MIN defense
Offense percentiles for GB against the matching defensive percentiles for MIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
GBMIN D
MIN offense vs GB defense
Offense percentiles for MIN against the matching defensive percentiles for GB. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MINGB D