Week 1 · Final · Lumen Field
Model
Projected NE 20.0 – SEA 24.5
margin +4.5 · total 44.5
Market
SEA -3.0 · O/U 44.5
implied NE 20.8 – SEA 23.8
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
+1.5
SEA side of the number
Total edge
+0.0
leans over
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NE | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.5 23rd | Power rating | 10th +1.5 |
| −1.3 23rd | Offense rating | 14th +0.2 |
| −0.2 19th | Defense rating | 10th +1.3 |
| −0.092 21st | Offense EPA/play | 14th +0.029 |
| +0.029 17th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 10th −0.092 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 24th 38.8% |
| 38.8% 7th | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.9% |
| +0.127 15th | Pass EPA/dropback | 12th +0.196 |
| +0.196 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 16th +0.127 |
| −0.451 30th | Rush EPA/carry | 24th −0.195 |
| −0.195 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 1st −0.451 |
| 1.4% 29th | Explosive play rate | 12th 10.2% |
| 10.2% 19th | Explosive rate allowed | 2nd 1.4% |
| 31.3% 20th | 3rd-down conversion | 27th 18.2% |
| 18.2% 3rd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 11th 31.3% |
| 50.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | 28th 0.0% |
| 0.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 14.3% 14th | Pressure rate allowed | 25th 22.2% |
| 22.2% 6th | Pressure rate | 16th 14.3% |
| 33.3% 29th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 23rd | Takeaway rate | 2nd 33.3% |
| 10.0 27th | Points per game | 24th 13.0 |
| 13.0 7th | Points allowed per game | 4th 10.0 |
| −3.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 31.9 23rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 12th 28.9 |
| −0.092 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.029 |
| +0.029 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.092 |
| +1.0 16th | Special teams EPA | 14th +1.3 |
NE offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for NE against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NESEA D
SEA offense vs NE defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for NE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEANE D