Week 1 · Final · Lincoln Financial Field
Washington Commanders0-1 · +0.4 power
2224
PHI -6.0 · O/U 43.5 · Division game FOX
Philadelphia Eagles1-0 · −0.4 power
Model
Projected WAS 23.8 – PHI 24.5
margin +0.7 · total 48.3
Market
PHI -6.0 · O/U 43.5
implied WAS 18.8 – PHI 24.8
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
−5.3
WAS side of the number
Total edge
+4.8
leans over
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| WAS | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| +0.4 15th | Power rating | 18th −0.4 |
| +0.6 13th | Offense rating | 15th +0.2 |
| −0.2 18th | Defense rating | 20th −0.6 |
| +0.059 13th | Offense EPA/play | 15th +0.027 |
| +0.027 16th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 18th +0.059 |
| 42.9% 19th | Offense success rate | 29th 34.0% |
| 34.0% 2nd | Defense success rate allowed | 12th 42.9% |
| +0.133 14th | Pass EPA/dropback | 13th +0.136 |
| +0.136 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 17th +0.133 |
| −0.047 11th | Rush EPA/carry | 22nd −0.167 |
| −0.167 9th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 20th −0.047 |
| 4.3% 26th | Explosive play rate | 14th 9.4% |
| 9.4% 17th | Explosive rate allowed | 5th 4.3% |
| 33.3% 17th | 3rd-down conversion | 13th 42.9% |
| 42.9% 18th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 12th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 66.7% 12th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 21st 100.0% |
| 5.1% 2nd | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 15.2% 14th | Pressure rate | 29th 5.1% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 23rd | Takeaway rate | 23rd 0.0% |
| 22.0 19th | Points per game | 16th 24.0 |
| 24.0 17th | Points allowed per game | 13th 22.0 |
| −4.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 28.3 9th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 21st 31.1 |
| +0.059 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +0.027 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +0.2 19th | Special teams EPA | 15th +1.1 |
WAS offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASPHI D
PHI offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHIWAS D