NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 2 · Monday, Sep 21 · 8:15 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)

TBD referee · 8 rest days (NYG) / 11 (LA) · QBs: Jaxson Dart vs Matthew Stafford

Model

64%NYG36%LA

Projected NYG 30.8 – LA 25.9
margin −4.9 · total 56.7

Market

25%NYG75%LA

LA -7.0 · O/U 48.5
implied NYG 20.8 – LA 27.8

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
−11.9
NYG side of the number
Total edge
+8.2
leans over

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

NYGLA
+1.2 13thPower rating29th −5.2
+4.5 1stOffense rating28th −2.9
−3.3 28thDefense rating26th −2.3
+0.363 1stOffense EPA/play28th −0.226
+0.271 28thDefense EPA/play allowed26th +0.190
59.1% 2ndOffense success rate16th 43.3%
48.3% 25thDefense success rate allowed30th 56.9%
+0.667 2ndPass EPA/dropback29th −0.270
+0.425 28thPass EPA/dropback allowed22nd +0.227
+0.059 7thRush EPA/carry24th −0.171
−0.100 15thRush EPA/carry allowed30th +0.142
6.1% 23rdExplosive play rate21st 6.7%
0.0% 1stExplosive rate allowed13th 7.7%
90.0% 1st3rd-down conversion26th 22.2%
72.7% 31st3rd-down conversion allowed29th 58.3%
100.0% 1stRed-zone TD rate26th 33.3%
100.0% 23rdRed-zone TD rate allowed14th 66.7%
15.2% 16thPressure rate allowed30th 27.6%
8.3% 27thPressure rate30th 5.6%
14.3% 17thTurnover rate27th 20.0%
14.3% 15thTakeaway rate17th 11.1%
28.0 12thPoints per game32nd 7.0
20.0 10thPoints allowed per game18th 27.0
−4.3% Pass rate over expected −14.8%
28.5 11thNeutral pace (sec/play)23rd 31.8
+0.363 Off epa last3 −0.226
+0.271 Def epa last3 +0.190
+0.6 20thSpecial teams EPA22nd +0.1

NYG offense vs LA defense

Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
NYGLA D

LA offense vs NYG defense

Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
LANYG D