Week 2 · Sunday, Sep 20 · 1:00 pm ET · Nissan Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (PHI) / 7 (TEN) · QBs: Jalen Hurts vs Cam Ward
Model
Projected PHI 25.8 – TEN 24.3
margin −1.5 · total 50.1
Market
PHI -7.0 · O/U 39.5
implied PHI 23.3 – TEN 16.3
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
+5.5
TEN side of the number
Total edge
+10.6
leans over
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 27th −3.4 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 23rd −1.8 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 23rd −1.5 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 23rd −0.141 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 23rd +0.127 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 14th 44.0% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 26th 48.4% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 24th −0.152 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 27th +0.338 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 17th −0.096 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 23rd −0.038 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 28th 4.0% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 4th 18.2% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 19th 15.4% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 32nd 3.9% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 14th 23.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.8% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 7th 27.3 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 32nd −5.1 |
PHI offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHITEN D
TEN offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENPHI D