Week 2 · Sunday, Sep 20 · 4:25 pm ET · State Farm Stadium
Seattle Seahawks1-0 · +1.5 power
@
SEA -4.5 · O/U 41.5 · Division game FOX
Arizona Cardinals1-0 · +3.9 power
TBD referee · 11 rest days (SEA) / 7 (ARI) · QBs: Drew Lock vs Jacoby Brissett
Model
Projected SEA 22.1 – ARI 25.9
margin +3.8 · total 48.0
Market
SEA -4.5 · O/U 41.5
implied SEA 23.0 – ARI 18.5
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
+8.3
ARI side of the number
Total edge
+6.5
leans over
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SEA | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 11th | Power rating | 5th +3.9 |
| +0.3 15th | Offense rating | 8th +1.7 |
| +1.2 11th | Defense rating | 9th +2.2 |
| +0.029 15th | Offense EPA/play | 8th +0.139 |
| −0.092 11th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 9th −0.167 |
| 38.8% 25th | Offense success rate | 6th 48.6% |
| 40.9% 10th | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.0% |
| +0.196 12th | Pass EPA/dropback | 8th +0.270 |
| +0.127 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 10th −0.087 |
| −0.195 25th | Rush EPA/carry | 11th −0.044 |
| −0.451 1st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 4th −0.360 |
| 10.2% 12th | Explosive play rate | 24th 5.6% |
| 1.4% 2nd | Explosive rate allowed | 8th 5.5% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 11th 46.2% |
| 31.3% 12th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 22.2% 27th | Pressure rate allowed | 12th 12.8% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 24th 11.4% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 33.3% 2nd | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 16th 26.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 9th 14.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −0.5% |
| 28.9 13th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 17th 30.5 |
| +0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| −0.092 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +1.3 16th | Special teams EPA | 30th −3.9 |
SEA offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEAARI D
ARI offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARISEA D