Week 2 · Sunday, Sep 20 · 4:25 pm ET · AT&T Stadium
Washington Commanders0-1 · +0.4 power
@
DAL -3.5 · O/U 50.5 · Division game FOX
Dallas Cowboys0-1 · −1.2 power
TBD referee · 7 rest days (WAS) / 7 (DAL) · QBs: Jayden Daniels vs Dak Prescott
Model
Projected WAS 29.1 – DAL 29.1
margin −0.1 · total 58.2
Market
DAL -3.5 · O/U 50.5
implied WAS 23.5 – DAL 27.0
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
−3.6
WAS side of the number
Total edge
+7.7
leans over
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| WAS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| +0.4 16th | Power rating | 20th −1.2 |
| +0.7 14th | Offense rating | 5th +3.3 |
| −0.3 17th | Defense rating | 32nd −4.5 |
| +0.059 14th | Offense EPA/play | 5th +0.271 |
| +0.027 17th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 32nd +0.363 |
| 42.9% 19th | Offense success rate | 8th 48.3% |
| 34.0% 2nd | Defense success rate allowed | 31st 59.1% |
| +0.133 14th | Pass EPA/dropback | 5th +0.425 |
| +0.136 20th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 31st +0.667 |
| −0.047 12th | Rush EPA/carry | 18th −0.100 |
| −0.167 10th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 26th +0.059 |
| 4.3% 27th | Explosive play rate | 32nd 0.0% |
| 9.4% 19th | Explosive rate allowed | 10th 6.1% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 2nd 72.7% |
| 42.9% 19th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 32nd 90.0% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 5.1% 2nd | Pressure rate allowed | 6th 8.3% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 22.0 20th | Points per game | 22nd 20.0 |
| 24.0 16th | Points allowed per game | 21st 28.0 |
| −4.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – +2.3% |
| 28.3 10th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 5th 25.6 |
| +0.059 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| +0.027 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| +0.2 21st | Special teams EPA | 26th −1.1 |
WAS offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASDAL D
DAL offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALWAS D