Week 3 · Sunday, Sep 27 · 4:25 pm ET · Maracana Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (BAL) / 7 (DAL)
Model
Projected BAL 31.0 – DAL 25.9
margin −5.1 · total 57.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| BAL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.5 3rd | Power rating | 20th −1.2 |
| +2.6 6th | Offense rating | 5th +3.3 |
| +2.9 6th | Defense rating | 32nd −4.5 |
| +0.209 6th | Offense EPA/play | 5th +0.271 |
| −0.225 6th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 32nd +0.363 |
| 46.9% 12th | Offense success rate | 8th 48.3% |
| 42.6% 13th | Defense success rate allowed | 31st 59.1% |
| +0.316 7th | Pass EPA/dropback | 5th +0.425 |
| −0.410 3rd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 31st +0.667 |
| +0.102 6th | Rush EPA/carry | 18th −0.100 |
| +0.116 28th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 26th +0.059 |
| 10.9% 8th | Explosive play rate | 32nd 0.0% |
| 13.0% 29th | Explosive rate allowed | 10th 6.1% |
| 37.5% 17th | 3rd-down conversion | 2nd 72.7% |
| 30.0% 11th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 32nd 90.0% |
| 75.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 10.3% 8th | Pressure rate allowed | 6th 8.3% |
| 26.5% 4th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 7.7% 12th | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 41.0 2nd | Points per game | 22nd 20.0 |
| 23.0 14th | Points allowed per game | 21st 28.0 |
| −5.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – +2.3% |
| 30.8 19th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 5th 25.6 |
| +0.209 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| −0.225 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| +4.8 6th | Special teams EPA | 26th −1.1 |
BAL offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for BAL against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
BALDAL D
DAL offense vs BAL defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for BAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALBAL D