NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 3 · Sunday, Sep 27 · 1:00 pm ET · Northwest Stadium

TBD referee · 7 rest days (SEA) / 7 (WAS)

Model

49%SEA51%WAS

Projected SEA 24.5 – WAS 24.9
margin +0.4 · total 49.5

Market

No market line yet.

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
Total edge

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

SEAWAS
+1.5 11thPower rating16th +0.4
+0.3 15thOffense rating14th +0.7
+1.2 11thDefense rating17th −0.3
+0.029 15thOffense EPA/play14th +0.059
−0.092 11thDefense EPA/play allowed17th +0.027
38.8% 25thOffense success rate19th 42.9%
40.9% 10thDefense success rate allowed2nd 34.0%
+0.196 12thPass EPA/dropback14th +0.133
+0.127 18thPass EPA/dropback allowed20th +0.136
−0.195 25thRush EPA/carry12th −0.047
−0.451 1stRush EPA/carry allowed10th −0.167
10.2% 12thExplosive play rate27th 4.3%
1.4% 2ndExplosive rate allowed19th 9.4%
18.2% 28th3rd-down conversion18th 33.3%
31.3% 12th3rd-down conversion allowed19th 42.9%
0.0% 30thRed-zone TD rate1st 100.0%
50.0% 9thRed-zone TD rate allowed14th 66.7%
22.2% 27thPressure rate allowed2nd 5.1%
14.3% 18thPressure rate15th 15.2%
0.0% 1stTurnover rate1st 0.0%
33.3% 2ndTakeaway rate25th 0.0%
13.0 25thPoints per game20th 22.0
10.0 2ndPoints allowed per game16th 24.0
−5.5% Pass rate over expected −4.7%
28.9 13thNeutral pace (sec/play)10th 28.3
+0.029 Off epa last3 +0.059
−0.092 Def epa last3 +0.027
+1.3 16thSpecial teams EPA21st +0.2

SEA offense vs WAS defense

Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
SEAWAS D

WAS offense vs SEA defense

Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
WASSEA D