Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 1:00 pm ET · Lincoln Financial Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LA) / 6 (PHI)
Model
Projected LA 21.7 – PHI 28.1
margin +6.3 · total 49.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.2 29th | Power rating | 17th −0.4 |
| −2.9 28th | Offense rating | 16th +0.3 |
| −2.3 26th | Defense rating | 19th −0.7 |
| −0.226 28th | Offense EPA/play | 16th +0.027 |
| +0.190 26th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 19th +0.059 |
| 43.3% 16th | Offense success rate | 31st 34.0% |
| 56.9% 30th | Defense success rate allowed | 14th 42.9% |
| −0.270 29th | Pass EPA/dropback | 13th +0.136 |
| +0.227 22nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 19th +0.133 |
| −0.171 24th | Rush EPA/carry | 23rd −0.167 |
| +0.142 30th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 21st −0.047 |
| 6.7% 21st | Explosive play rate | 14th 9.4% |
| 7.7% 13th | Explosive rate allowed | 6th 4.3% |
| 22.2% 26th | 3rd-down conversion | 14th 42.9% |
| 58.3% 29th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 33.3% 26th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 27.6% 30th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 5.6% 30th | Pressure rate | 31st 5.1% |
| 20.0% 27th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 11.1% 17th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 7.0 32nd | Points per game | 17th 24.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| −14.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 31.8 23rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 22nd 31.1 |
| −0.226 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +0.190 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +0.1 22nd | Special teams EPA | 17th +1.1 |
LA offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LAPHI D
PHI offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHILA D