Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 9:30 am ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (PHI) / 7 (JAX)
Model
Projected PHI 21.6 – JAX 30.0
margin +8.4 · total 51.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 1st +6.5 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 3rd +3.8 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 7th +2.7 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 3rd +0.310 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 7th −0.206 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 1st 59.3% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 16th 43.1% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 1st +0.731 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 5th −0.257 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 13th −0.053 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 12th −0.119 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 1st 16.7% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 15th 7.8% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 8th 55.6% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 1st 12.5% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 11th 12.5% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 2nd 30.0% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 3rd 22.2% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 6th 34.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 14th 29.4 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 15th +3.0 |
PHI offense vs JAX defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for JAX. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHIJAX D
JAX offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for JAX against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
JAXPHI D