Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 4:25 pm ET · Lumen Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (SF) / 7 (SEA)
Model
Projected SF 25.1 – SEA 22.9
margin −2.2 · total 47.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SF | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.2 4th | Power rating | 11th +1.5 |
| +2.3 7th | Offense rating | 15th +0.3 |
| +2.9 5th | Defense rating | 11th +1.2 |
| +0.190 7th | Offense EPA/play | 15th +0.029 |
| −0.226 5th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 11th −0.092 |
| 56.9% 3rd | Offense success rate | 25th 38.8% |
| 43.3% 17th | Defense success rate allowed | 10th 40.9% |
| +0.227 11th | Pass EPA/dropback | 12th +0.196 |
| −0.270 4th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 18th +0.127 |
| +0.142 3rd | Rush EPA/carry | 25th −0.195 |
| −0.171 9th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 1st −0.451 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 12th 10.2% |
| 6.7% 12th | Explosive rate allowed | 2nd 1.4% |
| 58.3% 4th | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 22.2% 7th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 12th 31.3% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 5.6% 3rd | Pressure rate allowed | 27th 22.2% |
| 27.6% 3rd | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 11.1% 16th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 20.0% 5th | Takeaway rate | 2nd 33.3% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 7.0 1st | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| +5.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 32.7 25th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 13th 28.9 |
| +0.190 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.029 |
| −0.226 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.092 |
| −0.7 25th | Special teams EPA | 16th +1.3 |
SF offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFSEA D
SEA offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEASF D