Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 pm ET · Huntington Bank Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (BAL) / 7 (CLE)
Model
Projected BAL 30.4 – CLE 19.9
margin −10.5 · total 50.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| BAL | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.5 3rd | Power rating | 32nd −6.5 |
| +2.6 6th | Offense rating | 26th −2.7 |
| +2.9 6th | Defense rating | 30th −3.8 |
| +0.209 6th | Offense EPA/play | 26th −0.206 |
| −0.225 6th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 30th +0.310 |
| 46.9% 12th | Offense success rate | 17th 43.1% |
| 42.6% 13th | Defense success rate allowed | 32nd 59.3% |
| +0.316 7th | Pass EPA/dropback | 28th −0.257 |
| −0.410 3rd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 32nd +0.731 |
| +0.102 6th | Rush EPA/carry | 21st −0.119 |
| +0.116 28th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 20th −0.053 |
| 10.9% 8th | Explosive play rate | 18th 7.8% |
| 13.0% 29th | Explosive rate allowed | 32nd 16.7% |
| 37.5% 17th | 3rd-down conversion | 32nd 12.5% |
| 30.0% 11th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 25th 55.6% |
| 75.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 10.3% 8th | Pressure rate allowed | 31st 30.0% |
| 26.5% 4th | Pressure rate | 22nd 12.5% |
| 7.7% 12th | Turnover rate | 30th 22.2% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 41.0 2nd | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 23.0 14th | Points allowed per game | 27th 34.0 |
| −5.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −9.7% |
| 30.8 19th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 32nd 38.8 |
| +0.209 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| −0.225 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| +4.8 6th | Special teams EPA | 2nd +6.1 |
BAL offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for BAL against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
BALCLE D
CLE offense vs BAL defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for BAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLEBAL D