Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 pm ET · Lincoln Financial Field
TBD referee · 14 rest days (CAR) / 7 (PHI)
Model
Projected CAR 26.2 – PHI 30.2
margin +4.0 · total 56.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CAR | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.9 25th | Power rating | 17th −0.4 |
| +1.6 9th | Offense rating | 16th +0.3 |
| −4.5 31st | Defense rating | 19th −0.7 |
| +0.130 9th | Offense EPA/play | 16th +0.027 |
| +0.361 31st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 19th +0.059 |
| 47.1% 11th | Offense success rate | 31st 34.0% |
| 53.3% 29th | Defense success rate allowed | 14th 42.9% |
| +0.242 9th | Pass EPA/dropback | 13th +0.136 |
| +0.551 29th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 19th +0.133 |
| −0.106 19th | Rush EPA/carry | 23rd −0.167 |
| +0.143 31st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 21st −0.047 |
| 11.8% 6th | Explosive play rate | 14th 9.4% |
| 12.0% 28th | Explosive rate allowed | 6th 4.3% |
| 44.4% 12th | 3rd-down conversion | 14th 42.9% |
| 71.4% 30th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 11.6% 10th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 7.9% 28th | Pressure rate | 31st 5.1% |
| 15.4% 19th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 7.1% 22nd | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 37.0 4th | Points per game | 17th 24.0 |
| 59.0 32nd | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| +3.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 24.7 4th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 22nd 31.1 |
| +0.130 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +0.361 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| −0.5 24th | Special teams EPA | 17th +1.1 |
CAR offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARPHI D
PHI offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHICAR D