Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 8:20 pm ET · Lambeau Field
TBD referee · 10 rest days (DAL) / 7 (GB)
Model
Projected DAL 28.1 – GB 27.6
margin −0.5 · total 55.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DAL | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.2 20th | Power rating | 26th −3.2 |
| +3.3 5th | Offense rating | 25th −2.4 |
| −4.5 32nd | Defense rating | 21st −0.8 |
| +0.271 5th | Offense EPA/play | 25th −0.181 |
| +0.363 32nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 21st +0.071 |
| 48.3% 8th | Offense success rate | 27th 38.2% |
| 59.1% 31st | Defense success rate allowed | 7th 38.7% |
| +0.425 5th | Pass EPA/dropback | 22nd −0.059 |
| +0.667 31st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 23rd +0.233 |
| −0.100 18th | Rush EPA/carry | 31st −0.438 |
| +0.059 26th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 11th −0.125 |
| 0.0% 32nd | Explosive play rate | 3rd 13.2% |
| 6.1% 10th | Explosive rate allowed | 4th 3.2% |
| 72.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 90.0% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 27th 57.1% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 29th 25.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 8.3% 6th | Pressure rate allowed | 32nd 32.6% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 13th 16.1% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 28.0 21st | Points allowed per game | 30th 39.0 |
| +2.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −3.0% |
| 25.6 5th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 1st 19.3 |
| +0.271 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| +0.363 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| −1.1 26th | Special teams EPA | 12th +3.5 |
DAL offense vs GB defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for GB. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALGB D
GB offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for GB against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
GBDAL D