Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 4:25 pm ET · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LAC) / 14 (KC)
Model
Projected LAC 17.0 – KC 28.6
margin +11.6 · total 45.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LAC | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.9 28th | Power rating | 2nd +6.2 |
| −2.2 24th | Offense rating | 11th +1.4 |
| −1.7 25th | Defense rating | 1st +4.8 |
| −0.167 24th | Offense EPA/play | 11th +0.118 |
| +0.139 25th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 1st −0.378 |
| 40.0% 24th | Offense success rate | 22nd 40.9% |
| 48.6% 27th | Defense success rate allowed | 4th 36.0% |
| −0.087 23rd | Pass EPA/dropback | 20th −0.014 |
| +0.270 25th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 2nd −0.442 |
| −0.360 29th | Rush EPA/carry | 1st +0.259 |
| −0.044 22nd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 7th −0.228 |
| 5.5% 25th | Explosive play rate | 15th 9.1% |
| 5.6% 9th | Explosive rate allowed | 3rd 2.0% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 7th 56.3% |
| 46.2% 22nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 2nd 16.7% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 19th 60.0% |
| 40.0% 7th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 11.4% 9th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 12.8% 21st | Pressure rate | 8th 21.2% |
| 20.0% 27th | Turnover rate | 14th 8.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 10th 16.7% |
| 14.0 24th | Points per game | 8th 31.0 |
| 26.0 17th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| +0.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – +0.4% |
| 29.9 16th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 8th 27.6 |
| −0.167 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.118 |
| +0.139 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.378 |
| −4.3 31st | Special teams EPA | 13th +3.3 |
LAC offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for LAC against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LACKC D
KC offense vs LAC defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for LAC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCLAC D