Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 pm ET · Gillette Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYJ) / 7 (NE)
Model
Projected NYJ 25.8 – NE 22.4
margin −3.4 · total 48.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYJ | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.4 6th | Power rating | 22nd −1.5 |
| +1.5 10th | Offense rating | 22nd −1.2 |
| +1.8 10th | Defense rating | 18th −0.3 |
| +0.127 10th | Offense EPA/play | 22nd −0.092 |
| −0.141 10th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 18th +0.029 |
| 48.4% 7th | Offense success rate | 23rd 40.9% |
| 44.0% 19th | Defense success rate allowed | 8th 38.8% |
| +0.338 6th | Pass EPA/dropback | 15th +0.127 |
| −0.152 9th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 21st +0.196 |
| −0.038 10th | Rush EPA/carry | 32nd −0.451 |
| −0.096 16th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 8th −0.195 |
| 10.9% 8th | Explosive play rate | 31st 1.4% |
| 4.0% 5th | Explosive rate allowed | 21st 10.2% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 21st 31.3% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 4th 18.2% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 20th 50.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 3.9% 1st | Pressure rate allowed | 14th 14.3% |
| 15.4% 14th | Pressure rate | 6th 22.2% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 31st 33.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 6th 13.0 |
| −8.9% – | Pass rate over expected | – −3.5% |
| 34.3 28th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 24th 31.9 |
| +0.127 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.092 |
| −0.141 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.029 |
| +3.5 11th | Special teams EPA | 18th +1.0 |
NYJ offense vs NE defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for NE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJNE D
NE offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for NE against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NENYJ D