Week 6 · Thursday, Oct 15 · 8:15 pm ET · Empower Field at Mile High
TBD referee · 4 rest days (SEA) / 4 (DEN)
Model
Projected SEA 25.7 – DEN 19.4
margin −6.3 · total 45.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SEA | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 11th | Power rating | 31st −6.2 |
| +0.3 15th | Offense rating | 32nd −4.8 |
| +1.2 11th | Defense rating | 22nd −1.4 |
| +0.029 15th | Offense EPA/play | 32nd −0.378 |
| −0.092 11th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 22nd +0.118 |
| 38.8% 25th | Offense success rate | 29th 36.0% |
| 40.9% 10th | Defense success rate allowed | 11th 40.9% |
| +0.196 12th | Pass EPA/dropback | 31st −0.442 |
| +0.127 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 13th −0.014 |
| −0.195 25th | Rush EPA/carry | 26th −0.228 |
| −0.451 1st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 32nd +0.259 |
| 10.2% 12th | Explosive play rate | 30th 2.0% |
| 1.4% 2nd | Explosive rate allowed | 18th 9.1% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 30th 16.7% |
| 31.3% 12th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 26th 56.3% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 20th 50.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 13th 60.0% |
| 22.2% 27th | Pressure rate allowed | 25th 21.2% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 33.3% 2nd | Takeaway rate | 19th 8.3% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 23rd 31.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – +1.7% |
| 28.9 13th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 27th 33.5 |
| +0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.378 |
| −0.092 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.118 |
| +1.3 16th | Special teams EPA | 10th +3.6 |
SEA offense vs DEN defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for DEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEADEN D
DEN offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for DEN against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DENSEA D