Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 pm ET · Lucas Oil Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (TEN) / 7 (IND)
Model
Projected TEN 24.7 – IND 24.1
margin −0.6 · total 48.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| TEN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.4 27th | Power rating | 30th −5.5 |
| −1.8 23rd | Offense rating | 27th −2.9 |
| −1.5 23rd | Defense rating | 27th −2.6 |
| −0.141 23rd | Offense EPA/play | 27th −0.225 |
| +0.127 23rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 27th +0.209 |
| 44.0% 14th | Offense success rate | 20th 42.6% |
| 48.4% 26th | Defense success rate allowed | 21st 46.9% |
| −0.152 24th | Pass EPA/dropback | 30th −0.410 |
| +0.338 27th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 26th +0.316 |
| −0.096 17th | Rush EPA/carry | 5th +0.116 |
| −0.038 23rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 27th +0.102 |
| 4.0% 28th | Explosive play rate | 4th 13.0% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 22nd 30.0% |
| 18.2% 4th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 16th 37.5% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 18th 75.0% |
| 15.4% 19th | Pressure rate allowed | 29th 26.5% |
| 3.9% 32nd | Pressure rate | 25th 10.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 23.0 14th | Points allowed per game | 31st 41.0 |
| +5.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.1% |
| 27.3 7th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 30th 35.7 |
| −0.141 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.225 |
| +0.127 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.209 |
| −5.1 32nd | Special teams EPA | 8th +4.4 |
TEN offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENIND D
IND offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDTEN D