Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 1:00 pm ET · U.S. Bank Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (IND) / 14 (MIN)
Model
Projected IND 18.7 – MIN 28.9
margin +10.1 · total 47.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| IND | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.5 30th | Power rating | 7th +3.2 |
| −2.9 27th | Offense rating | 12th +0.8 |
| −2.6 27th | Defense rating | 8th +2.4 |
| −0.225 27th | Offense EPA/play | 12th +0.071 |
| +0.209 27th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 8th −0.181 |
| 42.6% 20th | Offense success rate | 26th 38.7% |
| 46.9% 21st | Defense success rate allowed | 6th 38.2% |
| −0.410 30th | Pass EPA/dropback | 10th +0.233 |
| +0.316 26th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 11th −0.059 |
| +0.116 5th | Rush EPA/carry | 22nd −0.125 |
| +0.102 27th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 2nd −0.438 |
| 13.0% 4th | Explosive play rate | 29th 3.2% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 30th 13.2% |
| 30.0% 22nd | 3rd-down conversion | 5th 57.1% |
| 37.5% 16th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 75.0% 18th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 3rd 25.0% |
| 26.5% 29th | Pressure rate allowed | 20th 16.1% |
| 10.3% 25th | Pressure rate | 1st 32.6% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 12th 7.7% |
| 7.7% 20th | Takeaway rate | 10th 16.7% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 3rd 39.0 |
| 41.0 31st | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| −4.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.0% |
| 35.7 30th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 26th 32.7 |
| −0.225 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| +0.209 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| +4.4 8th | Special teams EPA | 14th +3.0 |
IND offense vs MIN defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for MIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDMIN D
MIN offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for MIN against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MININD D