Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 8:20 pm ET · Lumen Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (KC) / 10 (SEA)
Model
Projected KC 24.2 – SEA 20.9
margin −3.2 · total 45.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| KC | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.2 2nd | Power rating | 11th +1.5 |
| +1.4 11th | Offense rating | 15th +0.3 |
| +4.8 1st | Defense rating | 11th +1.2 |
| +0.118 11th | Offense EPA/play | 15th +0.029 |
| −0.378 1st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 11th −0.092 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 25th 38.8% |
| 36.0% 4th | Defense success rate allowed | 10th 40.9% |
| −0.014 20th | Pass EPA/dropback | 12th +0.196 |
| −0.442 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 18th +0.127 |
| +0.259 1st | Rush EPA/carry | 25th −0.195 |
| −0.228 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 1st −0.451 |
| 9.1% 15th | Explosive play rate | 12th 10.2% |
| 2.0% 3rd | Explosive rate allowed | 2nd 1.4% |
| 56.3% 7th | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 12th 31.3% |
| 60.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 27th 22.2% |
| 21.2% 8th | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 8.3% 14th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 2nd 33.3% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| +0.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 27.6 8th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 13th 28.9 |
| +0.118 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.029 |
| −0.378 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.092 |
| +3.3 13th | Special teams EPA | 16th +1.3 |
KC offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCSEA D
SEA offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEAKC D