Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 4:25 pm ET · Allegiant Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LA) / 7 (LV)
Model
Projected LA 17.9 – LV 27.4
margin +9.4 · total 45.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LA | LV | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.2 29th | Power rating | 9th +2.7 |
| −2.9 28th | Offense rating | 20th −0.4 |
| −2.3 26th | Defense rating | 4th +3.1 |
| −0.226 28th | Offense EPA/play | 20th −0.029 |
| +0.190 26th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 4th −0.242 |
| 43.3% 16th | Offense success rate | 18th 43.1% |
| 56.9% 30th | Defense success rate allowed | 3rd 34.6% |
| −0.270 29th | Pass EPA/dropback | 18th +0.027 |
| +0.227 22nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 7th −0.183 |
| −0.171 24th | Rush EPA/carry | 16th −0.083 |
| +0.142 30th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 3rd −0.399 |
| 6.7% 21st | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 7.7% 13th | Explosive rate allowed | 23rd 10.9% |
| 22.2% 26th | 3rd-down conversion | 15th 41.7% |
| 58.3% 29th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 6th 20.0% |
| 33.3% 26th | Red-zone TD rate | 13th 75.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 27.6% 30th | Pressure rate allowed | 4th 6.5% |
| 5.6% 30th | Pressure rate | 5th 24.3% |
| 20.0% 27th | Turnover rate | 24th 18.2% |
| 11.1% 17th | Takeaway rate | 7th 18.2% |
| 7.0 32nd | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 6th 13.0 |
| −14.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.6% |
| 31.8 23rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 31st 36.5 |
| −0.226 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.029 |
| +0.190 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.242 |
| +0.1 22nd | Special teams EPA | 5th +5.0 |
LA offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LALV D
LV offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVLA D