Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 14 rest days (MIA) / 7 (NYJ)
Model
Projected MIA 19.0 – NYJ 26.6
margin +7.6 · total 45.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| MIA | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.7 24th | Power rating | 6th +3.4 |
| −3.1 29th | Offense rating | 10th +1.5 |
| +0.4 13th | Defense rating | 10th +1.8 |
| −0.242 29th | Offense EPA/play | 10th +0.127 |
| −0.029 13th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 10th −0.141 |
| 34.6% 30th | Offense success rate | 7th 48.4% |
| 43.1% 15th | Defense success rate allowed | 19th 44.0% |
| −0.183 26th | Pass EPA/dropback | 6th +0.338 |
| +0.027 15th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 9th −0.152 |
| −0.399 30th | Rush EPA/carry | 10th −0.038 |
| −0.083 17th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 16th −0.096 |
| 10.9% 10th | Explosive play rate | 8th 10.9% |
| 7.7% 13th | Explosive rate allowed | 5th 4.0% |
| 20.0% 27th | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 41.7% 18th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 33.3% 26th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 75.0% 18th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 24.3% 28th | Pressure rate allowed | 1st 3.9% |
| 6.5% 29th | Pressure rate | 14th 15.4% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 18.2% 7th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −2.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.9% |
| 34.4 29th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 28th 34.3 |
| −0.242 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| −0.029 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| −1.2 27th | Special teams EPA | 11th +3.5 |
MIA offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for MIA against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MIANYJ D
NYJ offense vs MIA defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for MIA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJMIA D