Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 9:30 am ET · Stade de France (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (PIT) / 7 (NO)
Model
Projected PIT 20.3 – NO 21.1
margin +0.7 · total 41.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PIT | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.3 12th | Power rating | 15th +0.6 |
| −3.2 30th | Offense rating | 17th +0.2 |
| +4.6 2nd | Defense rating | 14th +0.4 |
| −0.252 30th | Offense EPA/play | 17th +0.019 |
| −0.358 2nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 14th −0.027 |
| 33.9% 32nd | Offense success rate | 15th 43.8% |
| 36.7% 5th | Defense success rate allowed | 20th 45.5% |
| −0.251 27th | Pass EPA/dropback | 17th +0.052 |
| −0.638 1st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 14th +0.012 |
| −0.252 27th | Rush EPA/carry | 15th −0.075 |
| −0.113 13th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 19th −0.072 |
| 6.2% 22nd | Explosive play rate | 16th 9.0% |
| 10.0% 20th | Explosive rate allowed | 22nd 10.4% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 10th 47.1% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 17th 38.5% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 10th 80.0% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 20th 80.0% |
| 14.0% 13th | Pressure rate allowed | 14th 14.3% |
| 19.2% 10th | Pressure rate | 9th 19.5% |
| 7.1% 10th | Turnover rate | 29th 21.4% |
| 15.4% 13th | Takeaway rate | 24th 6.7% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 11th 30.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 23rd 31.0 |
| +11.2% – | Pass rate over expected | – +4.1% |
| 25.7 6th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 2nd 21.6 |
| −0.252 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.019 |
| −0.358 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.027 |
| +0.8 19th | Special teams EPA | 29th −2.4 |
PIT offense vs NO defense
Offense percentiles for PIT against the matching defensive percentiles for NO. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PITNO D
NO offense vs PIT defense
Offense percentiles for NO against the matching defensive percentiles for PIT. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NOPIT D