Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 1:00 pm ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
TBD referee · 6 rest days (SF) / 7 (ATL)
Model
Projected SF 23.1 – ATL 18.0
margin −5.1 · total 41.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SF | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.2 4th | Power rating | 21st −1.3 |
| +2.3 7th | Offense rating | 31st −4.6 |
| +2.9 5th | Defense rating | 3rd +3.2 |
| +0.190 7th | Offense EPA/play | 31st −0.358 |
| −0.226 5th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 3rd −0.252 |
| 56.9% 3rd | Offense success rate | 28th 36.7% |
| 43.3% 17th | Defense success rate allowed | 1st 33.9% |
| +0.227 11th | Pass EPA/dropback | 32nd −0.638 |
| −0.270 4th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 6th −0.251 |
| +0.142 3rd | Rush EPA/carry | 20th −0.113 |
| −0.171 9th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 6th −0.252 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 13th 10.0% |
| 6.7% 12th | Explosive rate allowed | 11th 6.2% |
| 58.3% 4th | 3rd-down conversion | 30th 16.7% |
| 22.2% 7th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | – – |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 5.6% 3rd | Pressure rate allowed | 23rd 19.2% |
| 27.6% 3rd | Pressure rate | 20th 14.0% |
| 11.1% 16th | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 20.0% 5th | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 7.0 1st | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| +5.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −17.1% |
| 32.7 25th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 18th 30.7 |
| +0.190 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.358 |
| −0.226 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.252 |
| −0.7 25th | Special teams EPA | 28th −2.3 |
SF offense vs ATL defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for ATL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFATL D
ATL offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for ATL against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ATLSF D