Week 8 · Monday, Nov 2 · 8:15 pm ET · Lumen Field
TBD referee · 11 rest days (CHI) / 8 (SEA)
Model
Projected CHI 27.2 – SEA 27.3
margin +0.1 · total 54.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CHI | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| +2.9 8th | Power rating | 11th +1.5 |
| +4.5 2nd | Offense rating | 15th +0.3 |
| −1.6 24th | Defense rating | 11th +1.2 |
| +0.361 2nd | Offense EPA/play | 15th +0.029 |
| +0.130 24th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 11th −0.092 |
| 53.3% 4th | Offense success rate | 25th 38.8% |
| 47.1% 22nd | Defense success rate allowed | 10th 40.9% |
| +0.551 4th | Pass EPA/dropback | 12th +0.196 |
| +0.242 24th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 18th +0.127 |
| +0.143 2nd | Rush EPA/carry | 25th −0.195 |
| −0.106 14th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 1st −0.451 |
| 12.0% 5th | Explosive play rate | 12th 10.2% |
| 11.8% 27th | Explosive rate allowed | 2nd 1.4% |
| 71.4% 3rd | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 44.4% 21st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 12th 31.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 7.9% 5th | Pressure rate allowed | 27th 22.2% |
| 11.6% 23rd | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 7.1% 10th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 15.4% 13th | Takeaway rate | 2nd 33.3% |
| 59.0 1st | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 37.0 29th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −1.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 28.6 12th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 13th 28.9 |
| +0.361 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.029 |
| +0.130 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.092 |
| +6.4 1st | Special teams EPA | 16th +1.3 |
CHI offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for CHI against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CHISEA D
SEA offense vs CHI defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for CHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEACHI D