Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 pm ET · Acrisure Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (CLE) / 7 (PIT)
Model
Projected CLE 16.7 – PIT 26.1
margin +9.3 · total 42.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CLE | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| −6.5 32nd | Power rating | 12th +1.3 |
| −2.7 26th | Offense rating | 30th −3.2 |
| −3.8 30th | Defense rating | 2nd +4.6 |
| −0.206 26th | Offense EPA/play | 30th −0.252 |
| +0.310 30th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 2nd −0.358 |
| 43.1% 17th | Offense success rate | 32nd 33.9% |
| 59.3% 32nd | Defense success rate allowed | 5th 36.7% |
| −0.257 28th | Pass EPA/dropback | 27th −0.251 |
| +0.731 32nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 1st −0.638 |
| −0.119 21st | Rush EPA/carry | 27th −0.252 |
| −0.053 20th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 13th −0.113 |
| 7.8% 18th | Explosive play rate | 22nd 6.2% |
| 16.7% 32nd | Explosive rate allowed | 20th 10.0% |
| 12.5% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 55.6% 25th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 2nd 16.7% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 20th 50.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | – – |
| 30.0% 31st | Pressure rate allowed | 13th 14.0% |
| 12.5% 22nd | Pressure rate | 10th 19.2% |
| 22.2% 30th | Turnover rate | 10th 7.1% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 13th 15.4% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 22nd 20.0 |
| 34.0 27th | Points allowed per game | 6th 13.0 |
| −9.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – +11.2% |
| 38.8 32nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 6th 25.7 |
| −0.206 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.252 |
| +0.310 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.358 |
| +6.1 2nd | Special teams EPA | 19th +0.8 |
CLE offense vs PIT defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for PIT. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLEPIT D
PIT offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for PIT against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PITCLE D