Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 pm ET · EverBank Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (IND) / 14 (JAX)
Model
Projected IND 18.4 – JAX 31.9
margin +13.5 · total 50.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| IND | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.5 30th | Power rating | 1st +6.5 |
| −2.9 27th | Offense rating | 3rd +3.8 |
| −2.6 27th | Defense rating | 7th +2.7 |
| −0.225 27th | Offense EPA/play | 3rd +0.310 |
| +0.209 27th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 7th −0.206 |
| 42.6% 20th | Offense success rate | 1st 59.3% |
| 46.9% 21st | Defense success rate allowed | 16th 43.1% |
| −0.410 30th | Pass EPA/dropback | 1st +0.731 |
| +0.316 26th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 5th −0.257 |
| +0.116 5th | Rush EPA/carry | 13th −0.053 |
| +0.102 27th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 12th −0.119 |
| 13.0% 4th | Explosive play rate | 1st 16.7% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 15th 7.8% |
| 30.0% 22nd | 3rd-down conversion | 8th 55.6% |
| 37.5% 16th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 1st 12.5% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 75.0% 18th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 26.5% 29th | Pressure rate allowed | 11th 12.5% |
| 10.3% 25th | Pressure rate | 2nd 30.0% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 7.7% 20th | Takeaway rate | 3rd 22.2% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 6th 34.0 |
| 41.0 31st | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −4.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 35.7 30th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 14th 29.4 |
| −0.225 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| +0.209 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| +4.4 8th | Special teams EPA | 15th +3.0 |
IND offense vs JAX defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for JAX. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDJAX D
JAX offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for JAX against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
JAXIND D