Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 4:25 pm ET · Empower Field at Mile High
TBD referee · 7 rest days (KC) / 7 (DEN)
Model
Projected KC 26.8 – DEN 15.8
margin −11.0 · total 42.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| KC | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.2 2nd | Power rating | 31st −6.2 |
| +1.4 11th | Offense rating | 32nd −4.8 |
| +4.8 1st | Defense rating | 22nd −1.4 |
| +0.118 11th | Offense EPA/play | 32nd −0.378 |
| −0.378 1st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 22nd +0.118 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 29th 36.0% |
| 36.0% 4th | Defense success rate allowed | 11th 40.9% |
| −0.014 20th | Pass EPA/dropback | 31st −0.442 |
| −0.442 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 13th −0.014 |
| +0.259 1st | Rush EPA/carry | 26th −0.228 |
| −0.228 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 32nd +0.259 |
| 9.1% 15th | Explosive play rate | 30th 2.0% |
| 2.0% 3rd | Explosive rate allowed | 18th 9.1% |
| 56.3% 7th | 3rd-down conversion | 30th 16.7% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 26th 56.3% |
| 60.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | 20th 50.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 13th 60.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 25th 21.2% |
| 21.2% 8th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 8.3% 14th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 19th 8.3% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 23rd 31.0 |
| +0.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – +1.7% |
| 27.6 8th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 27th 33.5 |
| +0.118 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.378 |
| −0.378 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.118 |
| +3.3 13th | Special teams EPA | 10th +3.6 |
KC offense vs DEN defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for DEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCDEN D
DEN offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for DEN against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DENKC D