Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LV) / 7 (NYJ)
Model
Projected LV 21.7 – NYJ 23.9
margin +2.2 · total 45.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LV | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| +2.7 9th | Power rating | 6th +3.4 |
| −0.4 20th | Offense rating | 10th +1.5 |
| +3.1 4th | Defense rating | 10th +1.8 |
| −0.029 20th | Offense EPA/play | 10th +0.127 |
| −0.242 4th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 10th −0.141 |
| 43.1% 18th | Offense success rate | 7th 48.4% |
| 34.6% 3rd | Defense success rate allowed | 19th 44.0% |
| +0.027 18th | Pass EPA/dropback | 6th +0.338 |
| −0.183 7th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 9th −0.152 |
| −0.083 16th | Rush EPA/carry | 10th −0.038 |
| −0.399 3rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 16th −0.096 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 8th 10.9% |
| 10.9% 23rd | Explosive rate allowed | 5th 4.0% |
| 41.7% 15th | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 20.0% 6th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 75.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 6.5% 4th | Pressure rate allowed | 1st 3.9% |
| 24.3% 5th | Pressure rate | 14th 15.4% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 18.2% 7th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −5.6% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.9% |
| 36.5 31st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 28th 34.3 |
| −0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| −0.242 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| +5.0 5th | Special teams EPA | 11th +3.5 |
LV offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVNYJ D
NYJ offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJLV D