Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 8:20 pm ET · Northwest Stadium
Philadelphia Eagles1-0 · −0.4 power
@
no line · Division game NBC
Washington Commanders0-1 · +0.4 power
TBD referee · 6 rest days (PHI) / 13 (WAS)
Model
Projected PHI 24.5 – WAS 26.8
margin +2.3 · total 51.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 16th +0.4 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 14th +0.7 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 17th −0.3 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 14th +0.059 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 17th +0.027 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 19th 42.9% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 2nd 34.0% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 14th +0.133 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 20th +0.136 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 12th −0.047 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 10th −0.167 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 27th 4.3% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 19th 9.4% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 19th 42.9% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 2nd 5.1% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 16th 24.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.7% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 10th 28.3 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 21st +0.2 |
PHI offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHIWAS D
WAS offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASPHI D