Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 pm ET · Paycor Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (TEN) / 7 (CIN)
Model
Projected TEN 21.0 – CIN 26.9
margin +5.9 · total 48.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| TEN | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.4 27th | Power rating | 14th +1.0 |
| −1.8 23rd | Offense rating | 18th −0.0 |
| −1.5 23rd | Defense rating | 12th +1.1 |
| −0.141 23rd | Offense EPA/play | 18th +0.001 |
| +0.127 23rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 12th −0.081 |
| 44.0% 14th | Offense success rate | 10th 47.6% |
| 48.4% 26th | Defense success rate allowed | 28th 51.8% |
| −0.152 24th | Pass EPA/dropback | 21st −0.030 |
| +0.338 27th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 8th −0.168 |
| −0.096 17th | Rush EPA/carry | 8th +0.050 |
| −0.038 23rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 29th +0.118 |
| 4.0% 28th | Explosive play rate | 7th 11.1% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 7th 5.4% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 5th 57.1% |
| 18.2% 4th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 24th 50.0% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 15.4% 19th | Pressure rate allowed | 21st 16.2% |
| 3.9% 32nd | Pressure rate | 11th 16.7% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 15th 10.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 1st 40.0% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 7th 33.0 |
| 23.0 14th | Points allowed per game | 18th 27.0 |
| +5.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.7% |
| 27.3 7th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 3rd 23.1 |
| −0.141 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.001 |
| +0.127 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.081 |
| −5.1 32nd | Special teams EPA | 3rd +5.6 |
TEN offense vs CIN defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for CIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENCIN D
CIN offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for CIN against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CINTEN D