Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · Bank of America Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (DEN) / 10 (CAR)
Model
Projected DEN 23.6 – CAR 28.5
margin +4.8 · total 52.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DEN | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| −6.2 31st | Power rating | 25th −2.9 |
| −4.8 32nd | Offense rating | 9th +1.6 |
| −1.4 22nd | Defense rating | 31st −4.5 |
| −0.378 32nd | Offense EPA/play | 9th +0.130 |
| +0.118 22nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 31st +0.361 |
| 36.0% 29th | Offense success rate | 11th 47.1% |
| 40.9% 11th | Defense success rate allowed | 29th 53.3% |
| −0.442 31st | Pass EPA/dropback | 9th +0.242 |
| −0.014 13th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 29th +0.551 |
| −0.228 26th | Rush EPA/carry | 19th −0.106 |
| +0.259 32nd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 31st +0.143 |
| 2.0% 30th | Explosive play rate | 6th 11.8% |
| 9.1% 18th | Explosive rate allowed | 28th 12.0% |
| 16.7% 30th | 3rd-down conversion | 12th 44.4% |
| 56.3% 26th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 30th 71.4% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 60.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 21.2% 25th | Pressure rate allowed | 10th 11.6% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 28th 7.9% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 8.3% 19th | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 4th 37.0 |
| 31.0 23rd | Points allowed per game | 32nd 59.0 |
| +1.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – +3.1% |
| 33.5 27th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 4th 24.7 |
| −0.378 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| +0.118 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| +3.6 10th | Special teams EPA | 24th −0.5 |
DEN offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for DEN against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DENCAR D
CAR offense vs DEN defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for DEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARDEN D