Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · Hard Rock Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (DET) / 7 (MIA)
Model
Projected DET 23.1 – MIA 22.5
margin −0.6 · total 45.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DET | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.6 18th | Power rating | 24th −2.7 |
| −0.4 19th | Offense rating | 29th −3.1 |
| −0.2 16th | Defense rating | 13th +0.4 |
| −0.027 19th | Offense EPA/play | 29th −0.242 |
| +0.019 16th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 13th −0.029 |
| 45.5% 13th | Offense success rate | 30th 34.6% |
| 43.8% 18th | Defense success rate allowed | 15th 43.1% |
| +0.012 19th | Pass EPA/dropback | 26th −0.183 |
| +0.052 16th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 15th +0.027 |
| −0.072 14th | Rush EPA/carry | 30th −0.399 |
| −0.075 18th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 17th −0.083 |
| 10.4% 11th | Explosive play rate | 10th 10.9% |
| 9.0% 17th | Explosive rate allowed | 13th 7.7% |
| 38.5% 16th | 3rd-down conversion | 27th 20.0% |
| 47.1% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 18th 41.7% |
| 80.0% 10th | Red-zone TD rate | 26th 33.3% |
| 80.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 18th 75.0% |
| 19.5% 24th | Pressure rate allowed | 28th 24.3% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 29th 6.5% |
| 6.7% 9th | Turnover rate | 24th 18.2% |
| 21.4% 4th | Takeaway rate | 7th 18.2% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 30.0 22nd | Points allowed per game | 18th 27.0 |
| −2.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – −2.7% |
| 31.1 20th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 29th 34.4 |
| −0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.242 |
| +0.019 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.029 |
| +0.1 23rd | Special teams EPA | 27th −1.2 |
DET offense vs MIA defense
Offense percentiles for DET against the matching defensive percentiles for MIA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DETMIA D
MIA offense vs DET defense
Offense percentiles for MIA against the matching defensive percentiles for DET. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MIADET D