Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 4:05 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 14 rest days (HOU) / 7 (LAC)
Model
Projected HOU 26.5 – LAC 26.7
margin +0.3 · total 53.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| HOU | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.6 23rd | Power rating | 28th −3.9 |
| +0.8 13th | Offense rating | 24th −2.2 |
| −3.4 29th | Defense rating | 25th −1.7 |
| +0.071 13th | Offense EPA/play | 24th −0.167 |
| +0.278 29th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 25th +0.139 |
| 48.1% 9th | Offense success rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 41.1% 12th | Defense success rate allowed | 27th 48.6% |
| +0.098 16th | Pass EPA/dropback | 23rd −0.087 |
| +0.556 30th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 25th +0.270 |
| +0.030 9th | Rush EPA/carry | 29th −0.360 |
| −0.263 5th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 22nd −0.044 |
| 8.9% 17th | Explosive play rate | 25th 5.5% |
| 14.3% 31st | Explosive rate allowed | 9th 5.6% |
| 43.8% 13th | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 22nd 46.2% |
| 80.0% 10th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 7th 40.0% |
| 21.4% 26th | Pressure rate allowed | 9th 11.4% |
| 9.1% 26th | Pressure rate | 21st 12.8% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 24th 14.0 |
| 36.0 28th | Points allowed per game | 17th 26.0 |
| −4.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – +0.3% |
| 31.1 21st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 16th 29.9 |
| +0.071 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +0.278 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| +4.3 9th | Special teams EPA | 31st −4.3 |
HOU offense vs LAC defense
Offense percentiles for HOU against the matching defensive percentiles for LAC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
HOULAC D
LAC offense vs HOU defense
Offense percentiles for LAC against the matching defensive percentiles for HOU. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LACHOU D