Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 4:05 pm ET · Levi's Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LV) / 14 (SF)
Model
Projected LV 20.6 – SF 24.7
margin +4.0 · total 45.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LV | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| +2.7 9th | Power rating | 4th +5.2 |
| −0.4 20th | Offense rating | 7th +2.3 |
| +3.1 4th | Defense rating | 5th +2.9 |
| −0.029 20th | Offense EPA/play | 7th +0.190 |
| −0.242 4th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 5th −0.226 |
| 43.1% 18th | Offense success rate | 3rd 56.9% |
| 34.6% 3rd | Defense success rate allowed | 17th 43.3% |
| +0.027 18th | Pass EPA/dropback | 11th +0.227 |
| −0.183 7th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 4th −0.270 |
| −0.083 16th | Rush EPA/carry | 3rd +0.142 |
| −0.399 3rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 9th −0.171 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 10.9% 23rd | Explosive rate allowed | 12th 6.7% |
| 41.7% 15th | 3rd-down conversion | 4th 58.3% |
| 20.0% 6th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 7th 22.2% |
| 75.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 6.5% 4th | Pressure rate allowed | 3rd 5.6% |
| 24.3% 5th | Pressure rate | 3rd 27.6% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 16th 11.1% |
| 18.2% 7th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 1st 7.0 |
| −5.6% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.1% |
| 36.5 31st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 25th 32.7 |
| −0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| −0.242 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| +5.0 5th | Special teams EPA | 25th −0.7 |
LV offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVSF D
SF offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFLV D