Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYJ) / 7 (KC)
Model
Projected NYJ 20.7 – KC 25.0
margin +4.4 · total 45.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYJ | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.4 6th | Power rating | 2nd +6.2 |
| +1.5 10th | Offense rating | 11th +1.4 |
| +1.8 10th | Defense rating | 1st +4.8 |
| +0.127 10th | Offense EPA/play | 11th +0.118 |
| −0.141 10th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 1st −0.378 |
| 48.4% 7th | Offense success rate | 22nd 40.9% |
| 44.0% 19th | Defense success rate allowed | 4th 36.0% |
| +0.338 6th | Pass EPA/dropback | 20th −0.014 |
| −0.152 9th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 2nd −0.442 |
| −0.038 10th | Rush EPA/carry | 1st +0.259 |
| −0.096 16th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 7th −0.228 |
| 10.9% 8th | Explosive play rate | 15th 9.1% |
| 4.0% 5th | Explosive rate allowed | 3rd 2.0% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 7th 56.3% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 2nd 16.7% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 19th 60.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 3.9% 1st | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 15.4% 14th | Pressure rate | 8th 21.2% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 14th 8.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 10th 16.7% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 8th 31.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −8.9% – | Pass rate over expected | – +0.4% |
| 34.3 28th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 8th 27.6 |
| +0.127 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.118 |
| −0.141 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.378 |
| +3.5 11th | Special teams EPA | 13th +3.3 |
NYJ offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJKC D
KC offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCNYJ D