Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ET · Nissan Stadium
TBD referee · 10 rest days (JAX) / 14 (TEN)
Model
Projected JAX 29.3 – TEN 21.0
margin −8.4 · total 50.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| JAX | TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.5 1st | Power rating | 27th −3.4 |
| +3.8 3rd | Offense rating | 23rd −1.8 |
| +2.7 7th | Defense rating | 23rd −1.5 |
| +0.310 3rd | Offense EPA/play | 23rd −0.141 |
| −0.206 7th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 23rd +0.127 |
| 59.3% 1st | Offense success rate | 14th 44.0% |
| 43.1% 16th | Defense success rate allowed | 26th 48.4% |
| +0.731 1st | Pass EPA/dropback | 24th −0.152 |
| −0.257 5th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 27th +0.338 |
| −0.053 13th | Rush EPA/carry | 17th −0.096 |
| −0.119 12th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 23rd −0.038 |
| 16.7% 1st | Explosive play rate | 28th 4.0% |
| 7.8% 15th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 55.6% 8th | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 12.5% 1st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 4th 18.2% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 0.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 12.5% 11th | Pressure rate allowed | 19th 15.4% |
| 30.0% 2nd | Pressure rate | 32nd 3.9% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 22.2% 3rd | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 34.0 6th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 14th 23.0 |
| −4.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.8% |
| 29.4 14th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 7th 27.3 |
| +0.310 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| −0.206 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| +3.0 15th | Special teams EPA | 32nd −5.1 |
JAX offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for JAX against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
JAXTEN D
TEN offense vs JAX defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for JAX. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENJAX D