Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (KC) / 7 (ATL)
Model
Projected KC 22.2 – ATL 16.1
margin −6.1 · total 38.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| KC | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.2 2nd | Power rating | 21st −1.3 |
| +1.4 11th | Offense rating | 31st −4.6 |
| +4.8 1st | Defense rating | 3rd +3.2 |
| +0.118 11th | Offense EPA/play | 31st −0.358 |
| −0.378 1st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 3rd −0.252 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 28th 36.7% |
| 36.0% 4th | Defense success rate allowed | 1st 33.9% |
| −0.014 20th | Pass EPA/dropback | 32nd −0.638 |
| −0.442 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 6th −0.251 |
| +0.259 1st | Rush EPA/carry | 20th −0.113 |
| −0.228 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 6th −0.252 |
| 9.1% 15th | Explosive play rate | 13th 10.0% |
| 2.0% 3rd | Explosive rate allowed | 11th 6.2% |
| 56.3% 7th | 3rd-down conversion | 30th 16.7% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 60.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | – – |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 23rd 19.2% |
| 21.2% 8th | Pressure rate | 20th 14.0% |
| 8.3% 14th | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| +0.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – −17.1% |
| 27.6 8th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 18th 30.7 |
| +0.118 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.358 |
| −0.378 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.252 |
| +3.3 13th | Special teams EPA | 28th −2.3 |
KC offense vs ATL defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for ATL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCATL D
ATL offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for ATL against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ATLKC D