Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 4:05 pm ET · State Farm Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LA) / 7 (ARI)
Model
Projected LA 18.9 – ARI 29.5
margin +10.6 · total 48.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LA | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.2 29th | Power rating | 5th +3.9 |
| −2.9 28th | Offense rating | 8th +1.7 |
| −2.3 26th | Defense rating | 9th +2.2 |
| −0.226 28th | Offense EPA/play | 8th +0.139 |
| +0.190 26th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 9th −0.167 |
| 43.3% 16th | Offense success rate | 6th 48.6% |
| 56.9% 30th | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.0% |
| −0.270 29th | Pass EPA/dropback | 8th +0.270 |
| +0.227 22nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 10th −0.087 |
| −0.171 24th | Rush EPA/carry | 11th −0.044 |
| +0.142 30th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 4th −0.360 |
| 6.7% 21st | Explosive play rate | 24th 5.6% |
| 7.7% 13th | Explosive rate allowed | 8th 5.5% |
| 22.2% 26th | 3rd-down conversion | 11th 46.2% |
| 58.3% 29th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 33.3% 26th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 27.6% 30th | Pressure rate allowed | 12th 12.8% |
| 5.6% 30th | Pressure rate | 24th 11.4% |
| 20.0% 27th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 11.1% 17th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 7.0 32nd | Points per game | 16th 26.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 9th 14.0 |
| −14.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −0.5% |
| 31.8 23rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 17th 30.5 |
| −0.226 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| +0.190 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +0.1 22nd | Special teams EPA | 30th −3.9 |
LA offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LAARI D
ARI offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARILA D