Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 4:05 pm ET · Allegiant Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (SEA) / 7 (LV)
Model
Projected SEA 21.1 – LV 23.8
margin +2.7 · total 45.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SEA | LV | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 11th | Power rating | 9th +2.7 |
| +0.3 15th | Offense rating | 20th −0.4 |
| +1.2 11th | Defense rating | 4th +3.1 |
| +0.029 15th | Offense EPA/play | 20th −0.029 |
| −0.092 11th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 4th −0.242 |
| 38.8% 25th | Offense success rate | 18th 43.1% |
| 40.9% 10th | Defense success rate allowed | 3rd 34.6% |
| +0.196 12th | Pass EPA/dropback | 18th +0.027 |
| +0.127 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 7th −0.183 |
| −0.195 25th | Rush EPA/carry | 16th −0.083 |
| −0.451 1st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 3rd −0.399 |
| 10.2% 12th | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 1.4% 2nd | Explosive rate allowed | 23rd 10.9% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 15th 41.7% |
| 31.3% 12th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 6th 20.0% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 13th 75.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 22.2% 27th | Pressure rate allowed | 4th 6.5% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 5th 24.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 24th 18.2% |
| 33.3% 2nd | Takeaway rate | 7th 18.2% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 6th 13.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.6% |
| 28.9 13th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 31st 36.5 |
| +0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.029 |
| −0.092 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.242 |
| +1.3 16th | Special teams EPA | 5th +5.0 |
SEA offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEALV D
LV offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVSEA D