Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (JAX) / 10 (NYG)
Model
Projected JAX 31.2 – NYG 27.3
margin −3.8 · total 58.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| JAX | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.5 1st | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| +3.8 3rd | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| +2.7 7th | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| +0.310 3rd | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| −0.206 7th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 59.3% 1st | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 43.1% 16th | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| +0.731 1st | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| −0.257 5th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| −0.053 13th | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.119 12th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 16.7% 1st | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 7.8% 15th | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 55.6% 8th | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 12.5% 1st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 0.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 12.5% 11th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 30.0% 2nd | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 22.2% 3rd | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 34.0 6th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| −4.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 29.4 14th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| +0.310 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| −0.206 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| +3.0 15th | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
JAX offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for JAX against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
JAXNYG D
NYG offense vs JAX defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for JAX. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGJAX D