Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 4:05 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYJ) / 6 (LAC)
Model
Projected NYJ 27.2 – LAC 21.5
margin −5.7 · total 48.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYJ | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.4 6th | Power rating | 28th −3.9 |
| +1.5 10th | Offense rating | 24th −2.2 |
| +1.8 10th | Defense rating | 25th −1.7 |
| +0.127 10th | Offense EPA/play | 24th −0.167 |
| −0.141 10th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 25th +0.139 |
| 48.4% 7th | Offense success rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 44.0% 19th | Defense success rate allowed | 27th 48.6% |
| +0.338 6th | Pass EPA/dropback | 23rd −0.087 |
| −0.152 9th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 25th +0.270 |
| −0.038 10th | Rush EPA/carry | 29th −0.360 |
| −0.096 16th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 22nd −0.044 |
| 10.9% 8th | Explosive play rate | 25th 5.5% |
| 4.0% 5th | Explosive rate allowed | 9th 5.6% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 22nd 46.2% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 7th 40.0% |
| 3.9% 1st | Pressure rate allowed | 9th 11.4% |
| 15.4% 14th | Pressure rate | 21st 12.8% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 24th 14.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 17th 26.0 |
| −8.9% – | Pass rate over expected | – +0.3% |
| 34.3 28th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 16th 29.9 |
| +0.127 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| −0.141 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| +3.5 11th | Special teams EPA | 31st −4.3 |
NYJ offense vs LAC defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for LAC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJLAC D
LAC offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for LAC against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LACNYJ D