Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 4:25 pm ET · Lincoln Financial Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (PIT) / 14 (PHI)
Model
Projected PIT 21.4 – PHI 21.2
margin −0.2 · total 42.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PIT | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.3 12th | Power rating | 17th −0.4 |
| −3.2 30th | Offense rating | 16th +0.3 |
| +4.6 2nd | Defense rating | 19th −0.7 |
| −0.252 30th | Offense EPA/play | 16th +0.027 |
| −0.358 2nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 19th +0.059 |
| 33.9% 32nd | Offense success rate | 31st 34.0% |
| 36.7% 5th | Defense success rate allowed | 14th 42.9% |
| −0.251 27th | Pass EPA/dropback | 13th +0.136 |
| −0.638 1st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 19th +0.133 |
| −0.252 27th | Rush EPA/carry | 23rd −0.167 |
| −0.113 13th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 21st −0.047 |
| 6.2% 22nd | Explosive play rate | 14th 9.4% |
| 10.0% 20th | Explosive rate allowed | 6th 4.3% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 14th 42.9% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 14.0% 13th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 19.2% 10th | Pressure rate | 31st 5.1% |
| 7.1% 10th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 15.4% 13th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 17th 24.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| +11.2% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 25.7 6th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 22nd 31.1 |
| −0.252 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| −0.358 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +0.8 19th | Special teams EPA | 17th +1.1 |
PIT offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for PIT against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PITPHI D
PHI offense vs PIT defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for PIT. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHIPIT D