Week 12 · Wednesday, Nov 25 · 8:00 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 10 rest days (GB) / 10 (LA)
Model
Projected GB 23.9 – LA 23.4
margin −0.6 · total 47.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| GB | LA | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.2 26th | Power rating | 29th −5.2 |
| −2.4 25th | Offense rating | 28th −2.9 |
| −0.8 21st | Defense rating | 26th −2.3 |
| −0.181 25th | Offense EPA/play | 28th −0.226 |
| +0.071 21st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 26th +0.190 |
| 38.2% 27th | Offense success rate | 16th 43.3% |
| 38.7% 7th | Defense success rate allowed | 30th 56.9% |
| −0.059 22nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 29th −0.270 |
| +0.233 23rd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 22nd +0.227 |
| −0.438 31st | Rush EPA/carry | 24th −0.171 |
| −0.125 11th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 30th +0.142 |
| 13.2% 3rd | Explosive play rate | 21st 6.7% |
| 3.2% 4th | Explosive rate allowed | 13th 7.7% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 26th 22.2% |
| 57.1% 27th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 29th 58.3% |
| 25.0% 29th | Red-zone TD rate | 26th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 32.6% 32nd | Pressure rate allowed | 30th 27.6% |
| 16.1% 13th | Pressure rate | 30th 5.6% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 7.7% 20th | Takeaway rate | 17th 11.1% |
| 22.0 20th | Points per game | 32nd 7.0 |
| 39.0 30th | Points allowed per game | 18th 27.0 |
| −3.0% – | Pass rate over expected | – −14.8% |
| 19.3 1st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 23rd 31.8 |
| −0.181 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| +0.071 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| +3.5 12th | Special teams EPA | 22nd +0.1 |
GB offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for GB against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
GBLA D
LA offense vs GB defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for GB. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LAGB D